Will Massachusetts ever trend R in the future? (user search)
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  Will Massachusetts ever trend R in the future? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Will Massachusetts ever trend R in the future?  (Read 1052 times)
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,791
Ukraine


Political Matrix
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« on: June 20, 2020, 02:28:22 PM »

Probably not. Along with DC, California, Maryland, and Hawaii, Massachusetts is one of the core states for the Democratic Party. Assuming that white Catholics continue their strong trend towards the Republicans, the margin of victory that the Democrats receive in Massachusetts could decrease to around 55% as opposed to the usual 60-65%, however.
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,791
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 22, 2020, 12:11:00 PM »

It almost certainly will, but not nearly enough to make it competitive (unlike RI, for example)
I think that Rhode Island will elect a Republican to the House of Representatives and maybe the Senate in 2030 and will vote Republican for President in 2032 and 2036 assuming that white Catholics and white working class voters continue their trend towards the Republicans.
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