How will Larry Hogan (R-MD) and Charlie Baker (R-MA) do as governors?

[MATTROSE94]

Basically, nothing will really change and they'll probably be re-elected in 2018.

Rauner, on the other hand, is the next Tom Corbett.

Pretty much this^ I also think that Charlie Baker might run for Senate in 2020 against Ed Markey and Larry Hogan might run for Senate in 2022.

[MATTROSE94]

Baker will probably have an easy reelection, though Hogan will have a much tougher fight on his hands. It may even be in his best interest to not even run for reelection and instead run for the open senate seat if Mikulski retires.

That's ridiculous. 1st of all, Mikulski's seat is up in 2016, so I think you meant to say Cardin's. Do you really think Hogan will have an easier race for Senate than for Governor? Most of Hogan's campaigning was around state-based issues, and the reasons why he was elected Governor have nothing to do with national politics. There's value in incumbancy, remember. Hogan will lose that value if he runs for Senate.
And I hope you didn't mean 2016, because presidential-year turnout will never elect a Republican in Maryland.

Actually I daresay the right "type" of Republican could win in Maryland in a great Republican Presidential year.

That would be a sign of a realignment if it happened.  Maybe if Rand Paul was running and lost MD by only 5%.  Otherwise, I just can't see it.  Maryland is way too urban to do the split ticket Senate thing.

I meant as a Senator, not Presidential election. Also I had meant to say the person would most likely be an incumbent Senator.

I didn't mean to say a hypothetically perfect Republican would never win Maryland. I meant in reality, in Earth-616, there are 0 Republicans in Maryland who could a: get elected to the Senate in a midterm and then b: win reelection.

2018 will be a good year for Republicans imo. I feel like Hogan can at least hold his numbers from last year.

In terms of the senate, 2016 is sfae Dem, 2018 is probably at least lean Dem.

Maybe Boyd Rutherford will pull a Michael Steele and run for Senate in 2018 if he proves to be a popular Lieutenant Governor.