Discuss w/maps: What are each party's ceilings in the 2014 Senate races? (user search)
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  Discuss w/maps: What are each party's ceilings in the 2014 Senate races? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Discuss w/maps: What are each party's ceilings in the 2014 Senate races?  (Read 1696 times)
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,791
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« on: July 29, 2014, 12:34:54 PM »
« edited: July 29, 2014, 01:56:46 PM by MATTROSE94 »

Democratic Ceiling:

D+8 (63-37 Democrat majority)

Republican Ceiling:

R+16 (61-39 Republican majority)

Realistically, there will probably be a 4-5 seat gain for the Republicans in the midterms.
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,791
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #1 on: July 29, 2014, 01:57:21 PM »

Democratic Ceiling:

D+9 (64-36 Democrat majority)

Republican Ceiling:

R+17 (62-38 Republican majority)

Realistically, there will probably be a 4-5 seat gain for the Republicans in the midterms.
Massachusetts is not part of the Republican Ceiling the candidate there is one of the worst in the country. Same goes for Maine on the democratic map.
I edited both states in my post.
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,791
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #2 on: July 30, 2014, 09:20:46 AM »

Democratic Ceiling:

D+8 (63-37 Democrat majority)

Republican Ceiling:

R+16 (61-39 Republican majority)

Realistically, there will probably be a 4-5 seat gain for the Republicans in the midterms.

On the Democratic ceiling, do both Tim Scott and Lindsey Graham lose in SC? Based on this map, I thought one or the other would lose since you listed eight seats as flipping over, but I just wanted to check.
I have Tim Scott surviving and Lindsey Graham losing re-election.
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