Insider: Obama now leads in SC, everyone else significantly behind

[Gabu]

Eh... being an Obama supporter, I'd like to believe this, but this poll doesn't exactly jive with the previous polls, so I'm gonna wait for now until other polls from SC to confirm this.

[Gabu]

Eh... being an Obama supporter, I'd like to believe this, but this poll doesn't exactly jive with the previous polls, so I'm gonna wait for now until other polls from SC to confirm this.

Until this poll, there haven't been any other polls out of SC except for American Research Group.  And ARG polls are complete crap.  In 2004, they consistently had Kerry beating Bush in AZ and WV (2 states in which Bush won by double digits).  And this election cycle, they are the only polling company to have Hillary leading in Iowa, when every other poll has consistently showed Edwards leading there.

You're right not to get too excited about one poll.  But pretty much anything that comes from ARG, you can print out on a piece of paper and it'll give you something to wipe your ass with. 

Eh?  I could have sworn we've seen multiple polls from SC, none of which showed Obama leading.

[Gabu]

We've had two different SC polls from ARG, both of which had Clinton leading, but that's it, as far as I can recall.  The only other SC Dem. poll I can remember is the one from Elon University, which was a poll of five Southern states.  If you look at their internals, the subsample from SC had Clinton and Obama tied for the lead, with a huge number of undecideds.  But the number of respondents from each state was so small that you should probably just ignore the state subsamples.

Oh wait, sorry, I was thinking of North Carolina polls.  You're right, we haven't seen many South Carolina polls.