Allan Litchman “Trump will become first president to lose re-election bid since 1992”

[BaldEagle1991]

I’d say this is the best predictor of elections so far.

The only problem here is that some are subjective. Foreign policy achievements, Trump I know has made but how many do them affect the average American? If he helped denuclearize North Korea it would be a plus on this chart cause the average American wouldn’t worry about missles hitting the US mainland or Hawaii anymore. The average American could care less about the Israel and UAE having a treaty.

[BaldEagle1991]

I would be tempted to add a fourteenth key:

The President has not bungled a response to any natural disaster. This key would hit Trump hard for COVID-19 and wildfires on the West Coast. No President is responsible for an earthquake, hurricane, tornado outbreak, flood, meteor strike, or volcanic eruption... or even a pandemic, but he is responsible for coordinating aid from evacuations to reconstruction.   

I could argue Hurricane María in 2017 in his first year could be used against him on that front.

[BaldEagle1991]

This is a difficult time for everyone and in Asia and Europe where tourist industry is the economy, in Taiwan, Tokyo, Paris and Rome and London, they still are social distancing, and don't have tourist

Ah true. Tokyo is probably the biggest blunt of this. They were expecting the Olympics on top of its usual amount of tourists this year.

[BaldEagle1991]

I would be tempted to add a fourteenth key:

The President has not bungled a response to any natural disaster. This key would hit Trump hard for COVID-19 and wildfires on the West Coast. No President is responsible for an earthquake, hurricane, tornado outbreak, flood, meteor strike, or volcanic eruption... or even a pandemic, but he is responsible for coordinating aid from evacuations to reconstruction.   

Go ask Puerto Rico and see if they agree with you about that.

This is a difficult time for everyone and in Asia and Europe where tourist industry is the economy, in Taiwan, Tokyo, Paris and Rome and London, they still are social distancing, and don't have tourist

Ah true. Tokyo is probably the biggest blunt of this. They were expecting the Olympics on top of its usual amount of tourists this year.

The olympics being cancelled was one of the best parts of 2020 so far.

Hell no, I like the Olympics.

[BaldEagle1991]

This is a difficult time for everyone and in Asia and Europe where tourist industry is the economy, in Taiwan, Tokyo, Paris and Rome and London, they still are social distancing, and don't have tourist

Ah true. Tokyo is probably the biggest blunt of this. They were expecting the Olympics on top of its usual amount of tourists this year.

The olympics being cancelled was one of the best parts of 2020 so far.

No. The Tokyo 2020 Olympics was supposed to be awesome! Now, we have to wait a year.

Agreed.

Simone Biles & Katie Ledecky would've had a lot of gold medals by now if it weren't for Covid.

[BaldEagle1991]

Why did the thread go from Lichtman to the olympics?

Cause I mentioned Tokyo was going to be hurt from 2020's COVID economy slowdown and tourism and whatnot. Someone said that the Olympics being "cancelled" (it's actually postponed) was the best thing to happen in 2020, and me and other got everyone angry.