NJ-SEN 2018: Could Bob Menendez lose reelection?

[hopper]

Definitely No since New Jersey hasn't elected a GOP Senator since the 1970's.

[hopper]

Menendez is far from being safe for reelection. I could see him losing to someone like Kean or Guadagno. He is in some serious trouble if he decides to go for a third term.

The thing is for a Republican US Senate Candidate in order to win in the general election you need a lot of non-white support in Northern New Jersey(Middlesex, Union, Essex, Hudson, and Bergen Counties) which I don't think is happening in 2018 when a Republican is President.

[hopper]

Definitely No since New Jersey hasn't elected a GOP Senator since the 1970's.

Torricelli would have lost in 2002, though.

Very True but the National GOP was still more moderate then in 2002 and less-populist(i.e. Trump.)

[hopper]

Menendez is far from being safe for reelection. I could see him losing to someone like Kean or Guadagno. He is in some serious trouble if he decides to go for a third term.

The thing is for a Republican US Senate Candidate in order to win in the general election you need a lot of non-white support in Northern New Jersey(Middlesex, Union, Essex, Hudson, and Bergen Counties) which I don't think is happening in 2018 when a Republican is President.

Or just low voter turnout

NJ is not Michigan. Democrats arent dependent on one major city turning out. Low turnout wouldnt flip the state.

True turnout in NJ would have to be low-low for a Republican to get elected to a US Senate Seat.

I think the last Governors Race in NJ was like 40% turnout. Turnout for NJ Governor's Races used to be around 60% in the 1970's and 1980's.

[hopper]

He's very corrupt, and he challeneged Obama on too many issues in the past few years. I really hope he  gets taken down by Rush Holt in a primary.

I think Rush Holt might be done with politics. He is a smart guy even though he is very left-wing. He did beat "Watson" in Jeopardy!