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  2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Dereich)
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Author Topic: Youth Vote  (Read 3831 times)
hopper
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,414
United States


« on: November 29, 2016, 01:26:48 PM »

I knew Trump would do better than Romney with young voters, but I didn't expect him to win them in WI or IA. The age gap now is mostly just the result of younger voters being less likely to be married and less likely to be white. According to some studies, Gen Z (teenagers right now) is less liberal than Gen X or the Millennials. My anecdotal observations back this, as well. Perhaps the democrat party's grip on college towns will soon go the way of its grip on union towns.

Probably not. Clinton was uniquely out of touch and the alt-right gave enthusiastic support to Trump in order to get recognition. If this was Bernie vs Jeb, it would have been even more lopsided than Obama vs McCain.
Gen Z is maybe more moderate than  Yers but Yers are still more liberal than Xers. Remember Yers went to HS during the Bush W. Years and remembering how bad the Bush W. Presidency went in his 2nd term voted for Obama once they graduated HS.
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hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,414
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 06, 2016, 01:49:51 AM »

Those numbers actually still seem troubling for Republicans.  Democrats just need to hold onto that generation as it ages because the next generation isn't going to be much better for the GOP as it will inevitably be very diverse.
The country is just getting more Hispanic and less Non-Hispanic White.
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hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,414
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 07, 2016, 02:26:04 PM »

Those numbers actually still seem troubling for Republicans.  Democrats just need to hold onto that generation as it ages because the next generation isn't going to be much better for the GOP as it will inevitably be very diverse.
The country is just getting more Hispanic and less Non-Hispanic White.

Not true, all minority groups are growing faster than whites, some more than others.  In fact, the fastest growing group is Asians.  But the general ordering in terms of relative growth:

1) Asian
2) Hispanic
3) Black
4) Non-Hispanic White

Everything I've read suggests that the Black population is growing only slightly faster than the White population though.
No Asians are only 4-5% of the US Population where as Hispanics are about 18-19% of the US Population. The population make-up statistics doesn't suggest that Asians are growing faster than Hispanics as a make-up of the US Population percentage wise.
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hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,414
United States


« Reply #3 on: December 07, 2016, 02:32:04 PM »

Those numbers actually still seem troubling for Republicans.  Democrats just need to hold onto that generation as it ages because the next generation isn't going to be much better for the GOP as it will inevitably be very diverse.
The country is just getting more Hispanic and less Non-Hispanic White.

Not true, all minority groups are growing faster than whites, some more than others.  In fact, the fastest growing group is Asians.  But the general ordering in terms of relative growth:

1) Asian
2) Hispanic
3) Black
4) Non-Hispanic White

Everything I've read suggests that the Black population is growing only slightly faster than the White population though.

What about the "mixed" race segment. The growing number of offspring of mixed couples. Asian/white and white/Hispanic couples are very common particularly in the west, southwest, and Florida.

True.  I haven't seen any numbers on how that group votes but I suspect that overall it's pretty strong Democrat.  Most of the mixed race Asian/White couples I know are highly educated, liberals in urban centers.  I don't know many Hispanic/White couples but I'd presume they lean left as well.

I would imagine this to be the case as well. Certainly Asian/white couples would lean liberal but I wonder if the same can be said of Hispanic/white couples.
I
"Other" voted 56-37% in favor of Hillary. "Other" made up 3% of the electorate in 2016.
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