1 Term GOP President from 2017-21?

[hopper]

There's really no easy way to put this, just fun to think about the different scenarios. Of course Hillary could be very popular or Kasich, Rubio decide to govern in a more inclusive way than the GOP base wants. Restoring the Bush tax cuts would be a Democratic talking point, especially if  Jeb tried that. If we had a recession under Jeb, the GOP would be absolutely destroyed.

The Bush Tax Cuts are still there for households making under 450,000 dollars a year.

True usually if there is a recession the party in power usually loses. Look at Carter in 1980, Bush H.W. in 1992, and John McCain in 2008 when Bush W. was still in the White House. I think Eisenhower escaped a recession though didn't he to get re-elected in 1956?

[hopper]

For all the talk about the GOP field, is the party really better off winning in 2017? If they win and attempt to cut taxes on the wealthy, repeal the healthcare law the new President will hit 40% approval within 8 months. The 2018 elections would then see Dems gaining Governorships in WI, MI, FL and possibly more like OH, GA along with sleeper races. One can see a Carter style single term where the country's changing social attitudes and demographics come roaring back at the GOP. At this point, Dems could win around a 56-57% victory and 400 electoral votes. Redistricting year too.

Of course if Hillary wins the GOP will benefit if a recession occurs during her term and Democratic fatigue is always an issue after 12 years. Not to mention Congress won't change hands before 2020 redistricting.

I don't see the Dems winning 400 electoral votes anytime. Most of the Southern and Great Plains states are to locked in for the GOP. The current  electoral map is basically from 1992
but with VA and NC(2 Mid-Atlantic South States I like to call them) going from Lean R to Toss-Up states in 2008.