National swing of states 2004-2012

[hopper]

Arkansas R+15
West Virginia R+13
Tennessee R+7
Kentucky R+3
Missouri R+3
Louisiana R+2
Massachusetts R+2
Oklahoma R+2
Utah R+2'
Wyoming R+1
Kansas D+1
Arizona D+2
Pennsylvania D+2
Alabama D+3
South Dakota D+4
Washington DC D+4
Minnesota D+5
New Hampshire D+5
Ohio D+5
Florida D+6
Idaho D+6
Maine D+6
Michigan D+6
South Carolina D+6
Wisconsin D+6
Connecticut D+7
Illinois D+7
Iowa D+7
Montana D+7
National Swing D+7
Texas D+7
North Dakota D+8
Oregon D+8
Rhode Island D+8
Mississippi D+9
Nevada D+9
Washington D+9
Georgia D+10
Indiana D+10
New Jersey D+10
New York D+10
North Carolina D+10
Alaska D+11
Colorado D+11
Nebraska D+11
New Mexico D+11
Delaware D+12
Virginia D+12
California D+13
Maryland D+13
Vermont D+16
Hawaii D+35

[hopper]

Wait...Florida should be D+6. Kentucky should be R+3. Sorry.

[hopper]

County swing map:


Trend:

Ohio still looks purple.

Republican Worries:

NC is looking like a Lean D or Toss-up/Tilt D state in the future.

NM-Looks Lean D to me.

NV-Toss/Up-Tilt D to me as does VA and FL.

Iowa-Looking more Democrat than I thought.

TX-Going purple?

I am worried by the all the red I see in MS and AL.

Democrats:

Should they be worried by all the blue seen here in Oregon?

PA is a little of a worry spot for them too I think.

Fools Gold:

MN looks as fools good for the GOP as AZ does for the Dems.

[hopper]

Like this?

Why the "grey" color in some states?

[hopper]

Some trend maps I did a while ago:

2004-2012

2000-2012

Trended GOP 2004-2012 but not 2000-2012:

South Dakota
Minnesota
Michigan
Ohio
Maine
New Hampshire
Washington DC

Trended GOP 2000-2012 but not 2004-2012:

Connecticut
Rhode Island
New Jersey
New York