How many Democratic US Senators will be left from the Deep South? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 15, 2024, 05:21:38 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  How many Democratic US Senators will be left from the Deep South? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: (After 2014 Elections)
#1
0
 
#2
1
 
#3
2
 
#4
3
 
#5
4 or more
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 47

Author Topic: How many Democratic US Senators will be left from the Deep South?  (Read 2572 times)
hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,411
United States


« on: March 14, 2014, 01:11:31 PM »

I wish people wouldn't include Florida as the Deep South. Tampa, Orlando, and Miami, ad West Palm Beach are not the Deep South the way say Charleston, SC would be.

As for Tim Scott he beat White Republicans the first time he ran in SC-01 in 2010. He beat Strom Thurmond's son and Carol Campbell's son whose father was a former Governor of SC in the Republican Primary. I realize SC-01 its kinda moderate socially when compared to the rest of SC Congressional Districts since this district does have the city of Charleston in it. The race issue as a whole is debatable though because we are talking about the Deep South here. I don't like the whole Uncle Tom saying though since not all black people grow up in a city environment.
Logged
hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,411
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2014, 01:15:38 PM »

3 at best (Neoconfederate melts down in MS, Nunn wins, Landrieu holds on) or 0 at worst. If miracles did happen, it could be 4 (if we got a white to run against Uncle Tom Tim Scott).
OMG really? Ignoring the disrespectful, racist comment, there's nobody who can beat Tim Scott. Even Jim Hodges would probably lose.

The comment is neither racist, nor disrespectful. It's the sad truth. You're deluding yourself if you think Tim Scott wouldn't have a hard time against a white Democrat. Even Nikki Haley (who looks white) had a hard time in 2010. Tim Scott would be in legitimate trouble against a white opponent.
Nikki Haley really wasn't the establishment pick for the Republican Nomination for SC Governor in 2010. I think Gersham Barrett was. Shaheen was a good candidate on the Dem side too.
Logged
hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,411
United States


« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2014, 01:19:39 PM »

Zero.

The Democratic brand is DEAD in the Deep South at the moment.  Nunn's chances are highly overstated and Landrieu is looking to be the next Blanche Lincoln.  I could see either/both of them somehow winning, but only if the GOP really screws up the next few months.  The Democrats will need to look for opportunities to expand elsewhere for the time being.  There is a way to win some Southern states without turning the party into moderate heroism but the fundraising base probably wouldn't like the strategy.  Namely, get very serious about overturning Citizens United and taking a stronger stance on economic populism.  The South has the lowest voter turnout in the nation and if people get the idea that the Democrats are actually serious about Social Justice they could turn out in high numbers.  I mean, all those bad stats you guys list?  You think all of those people are Republicans?  Chances are, given how polarized the South is by measures like class and race, more than a few of those people are Democrats who don't bother voting under the impression that the vote means nothing.  Ds need to work on the impression that it does mean something, which I believe is where their strategy is failing.  You can't count on Republicans being dumb forever guys.
No Landrieu is not gonna lose as bad as Blanche Lincoln did in 2010. Landrieu may lose but not in Blanche Lincoln 2010 or Rick Santorum 2006 style.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.029 seconds with 14 queries.