NJ: LoBiondo, Runyan get serious challengers

[hopper]

Sabato must really hate PPP polling because PPP shows LoBiondo has a higher 44% favorable to Runyan's 39% favorable and LoBiondo has a 2 point lead over a generic Democrat as opposed to Runyan who trails by 2 points by a generic Democrat. Yet, Sabato lists Frank LoBiondo's seat as "Likely R" and Jon Runyan's as "Safe R." I'm not necessarily inclined to disagree with the LoBiondo rating of the seat by Sabato, but if anything, NJ-3 is lean R and is more vulnerable than it is safe to NJ-2. It would be better if the Democrats forgot about LoBiondo and went after NJ incumbents who are in trouble like Reps. Frelinghuysen and Lance who have approvals in their 30's.

Plus, it's worth noting LoBiondo and Runyan both won their seats in the 2 main recent GOP waves of 1994 (LoBiondo) and 2010 (Runyan). If LoBiondo can survive by over 20 points in 2006 and 2008 in an Obama district, he should easily be safe and only a little competitive from a good Democrat. On the other hand, Runyan only beat John Alder by 1 point in a GOP year and since 2012 was about split/lean D, he may have survived then, but he wouldn't be able to in a Democratic wave.

Yeah but Lance and Frelinghuysen are in R+6 districts it would be hard for a Dem to take any one of them out. Maybe in the future the Dems could target those 2 districts(NJ-07 and  NJ-11) because NJ's population growth is moving to the Northeast of the state which is mostly Dem.

[hopper]

For what it's worth, LoBiondo won by the lowest margin in his career in 2012. He lost in 1992 to, you guessed it, Bill Hughes Sr.! LiBiondo then won in 1994 and won comfortably each time, but 2012 he only won 57.7% to 40.3%.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NSlRG1TfDMs - he ran on term limits, and this is his 10th term now. It's time for him to go!

Term limits were a big thing to run on in the first half of the decade of the 1990's but then everybody forgot about the term limit pledges after Clinton's re-election in 1996 along with the good economy of the decade.

[hopper]

Congressional Republicans launched a direct attack on New Jersey when they withheld Hurricane Sandy aid because they were upset over how nice Christie was to Obama. It shouldn't be any wonder that voters are upset with the House GOP. They deserve what they're going to get.

Nobody is gonna run on Sandy Aid in 2014. Its not about Sandy Aid its about the Government Shutdown or was since the web site(healthcare.gov) is a debacle.

[hopper]

Is Assad running again?

ASSAD FOR CONGRESS 2014!!!

I'd like to see him run under a Tea Party moinker or something, if only so he can split the vote.

Who is Assad? Are you just doing troll messages?

[hopper]

Congressional Republicans launched a direct attack on New Jersey when they withheld Hurricane Sandy aid because they were upset over how nice Christie was to Obama. It shouldn't be any wonder that voters are upset with the House GOP. They deserve what they're going to get.

Nobody is gonna run on Sandy Aid in 2014. Its not about Sandy Aid its about the Government Shutdown or was since the web site(healthcare.gov) is a debacle.

Do you honestly think the healthcare.gov site not working is going to matter in November 2014?

Well no, but I think the Republicans get some reprieve(not totally) on the Government Shutdown.