Florida Democrats should be ashamed as to where their statewide party is given the changes in the demographics of the state over the past 20 years. The race shouldn't be that close and in the end, given the weakness of the statewide party and Charlie Crist's own issues (i.e. flip-flopping), my money is on another term for Scott.
Strange, then, that the FDP really began to decline 20 years ago. In large part that was to be expected - the party's base at that time was North Florida, which was declining, while the Republicans were based in Pinellas especially. A realignment like what's happening in Florida takes time to bring to fruition, and the GOP seems to have just taken advantage of the chaos (snapping up northern/Southern whites while still holding onto a strong bench in the other areas).