Romney/Democrat Confirmed:
UT-04
NC-07
WV-03
GA-12
Romney/Democrat Plausible:
TX-23
AZ-1
AZ-2
AZ-9
FL-18
MN-07
Obama/Republican Confirmed:
CA-31 (fluke)
NJ-02
NJ-03 (Burlington County section went for Obama by about 35k, Ocean County section for Romney by at most 25k)
IA-03 (52% Obama)
Obama/Republican Plausible:
PA-08 (though I think Romney snagged this by a hair)
IL-13
MN-02
MN-03
FL-27 (lots of swing here)
MI-06 (though I think Romney snagged this by a hair)
NV-03
NY-19
FL-18 probably went for Obama by a hair. Im pretty sure NY-11 switched to Obama/Republican, as Obama actually carried the Staten Island part of the district(he lost it in 2008). I think NJ-05 also switched to Obama/Republican. MI-07 may also be Obama/Republican. Walberg wildly underperformed against a nobody again. I think TX-23 went to Obama again by a hair. Obama did about the same as he did in 2008 in this area. FL-13(Bill Young) is also a likely Obama/Republican district. VA-02 is possible to as an Obama/Republican district.
WI-07 was also probably an Obama/Republican seat.
It actually looks like Obama still might have carried a narrow majority of the nations Congressional districts, even as he only won the popular vote by two points. Wouldnt have expected this.
FL-13 has leaned D for the last few cycles Presidentially. It's a deadly trap that lures promising politicians into attempting to challenge Bill Young; they are subsequently slaughtered.
Democrats just need to wait until Young(blonde Wayne Newton) retires and then they would probably have a 50/50 shot at picking up that seat.
Doubtful; not with Latvala, Brandes, and Baker still around.
That's what Democrats said about TN-08. "Oh we've got hugely popular State Senator Roy Herron who holds a state Senate district in the most Republican part of the district, we'll easily hold that one". He lost by 20 points to a gospel singer.
The difference being that said State Senator wasn't A.) A mayor of the largest city in the district and mentioned as a Cabinet pick for a Romney administration, B.) The (future) President of the FL Senate, or C.) Able to flood his campaign with millions of his own money, like Baker, Latvala, or Brandes (respectively). Also, the Tennessee Republicans are actually organized in some fashion. FL Dems are not.
