Early Predictions: How many of the 10 red-state Democratic Senators survive 2018

[AmericanNation]

I think Baldwin is in serious trouble.  I'm shocked people think she has a chance.  The last democrat to win anything during a midterm in this state was 2006!  I'm guessing a large number of republicans are going to look at running because they know how "easy" a pick up it is and their are so many talented people on the GOP bench.  Probably anyone popular in the WOW counties can win statewide in a midterm.  Thus, it is almost irrelevant how Trump is doing.  A majority of people who voted for Trump don't really like him here, they will vote for someone they chose in a primary.

[AmericanNation]

The last democrat to win anything during a midterm in this state was 2006!

Wrong, Doug La Follette.

...The secretary of state in wisconsin does next to nothing... I defined "anything" to be offices with some power not a relic that has been eliminated in all but name.  SOS is legally powerless and probably should be eliminated by constitutional amendment. 
Good catch tho.     

[AmericanNation]

So the fundamentals:
Tammy Baldwin (WI): See OH and PA. Might be a bit harder for her as queer woman in a midterm, but also Wisconsin has better D turnout in midterms sooooo LEANS D

What?  You mean Wisconsin has better Republican turnout in midterms so leans R?

[AmericanNation]

So the fundamentals:
Tammy Baldwin (WI): See OH and PA. Might be a bit harder for her as queer woman in a midterm, but also Wisconsin has better D turnout in midterms sooooo LEANS D

What?  You mean Wisconsin has better Republican turnout in midterms so leans R?

But it is not going to be a midterm with a Democrat as president.

Granted 2018 could end up like 98 and 02 with modest gains for the party with the Presidency. But people are now acting like Wisconsin is a solid GOP state. It is not.

Republicans have won everything since 2010 except Baldwin and Obama in 12.  I mean everything.  An incumbent Supreme Court justice (democrat) won reelection last year (incumbents have lost twice in 50 years)... that's it.  You have to go back to the 1920's to find this kind of Republican domination.