Romney Pathways to Victory - Best strategy? (Romney supporters only please!) (user search)
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  Romney Pathways to Victory - Best strategy? (Romney supporters only please!) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Romney Pathways to Victory - Best strategy? (Romney supporters only please!)  (Read 1960 times)
AmericanNation
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,081


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91

« on: October 17, 2012, 11:29:37 PM »
« edited: October 18, 2012, 12:07:14 AM by AmericanNation »

If Romney is going to win Colorado, than Ohio and Wisconsin are where you go.  That gets you there.  VA and NH are the 'back up Ohio' -- 17(combined) and 18 EVs respectively.  Iowa and NV would be icing, but probably aren't the deciders this year.  Wisconsin is key, it would make things simple for Mitt.  Iowa only works with Ohio and another state, which is a complicated thread of the needle, so Iowa and NH are the 'back up wisconsin' that requires Ohio.  Let the Mitzkrieg of ads begin.      


Most of this fits with Obama’s New Firewall: Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada
http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/330793/obamas-new-firewall-ohio-iowa-new-hampshire-and-nevada

Is Team Obama blind to dead heat Wisconsin? 
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AmericanNation
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,081


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91

« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2012, 09:34:57 PM »

Like I said in the other thread, if Romney doesn't win both Ohio and Virginia, he's done.  Those two combined have the most electoral votes. He should still throw money into CO/FL to keep them in his column.

He doesn't need VA. He needs OH, FL, IA, NH, IN, NC, CO and NE-2 to win. Worst case scenario, he loses IA and NH but wins WI, and he wins. There's a lot of ways he could win this. Plus, nobody's talking but PA, but it's still very much in play.

apparently Romney is closing in PA like a freight train!  WI hasn't went R since 84 and PA hasn't since 88... realignment? 
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AmericanNation
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,081


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91

« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2012, 07:28:13 AM »

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In PA probably a bad poll. 
In WI probably a good poll. (Best public poll in WI is usually Marquette law school) 
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AmericanNation
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,081


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91

« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2012, 08:40:10 AM »
« Edited: October 19, 2012, 08:42:32 AM by AmericanNation »

looks like team Romney is confident they 'have' NC, thus are redeploying NC assets elsewhere.  I would probably move them into Virginia and Ohio.  

I don't think Obama can hold Ohio without neglecting NH, WI, and VA.  likewise if he defends NH, WI and VA he probably can't hang on to Ohio.  Interesting gambit. 
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AmericanNation
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,081


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91

« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2012, 10:45:11 AM »


I don't think Obama can hold Ohio without neglecting NH, WI, and VA.  likewise if he defends NH, WI and VA he probably can't hang on to Ohio.  Interesting gambit. 

Why do you think he isn't capable of advertising and campaigning in four states over the next few weeks? He also has literally hundreds of campaign offices buzzing in those states and others.

He's being outmaneuvered, momentum is fighting him, and he's competing on ground that is shifting against him (the midwest).  The only way to fight all that is an overwhelming advantage in focus, ads, messaging, personal visits, operatives, etc.  Obviously, you can't be overwhelming if you are spread too thin.       
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