FiveThirtyEight Demographic Calculator Revisited: Can you make Trump win? (user search)
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  FiveThirtyEight Demographic Calculator Revisited: Can you make Trump win? (search mode)
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Author Topic: FiveThirtyEight Demographic Calculator Revisited: Can you make Trump win?  (Read 7617 times)
Asian Nazi
d32123
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,523
China


« on: May 08, 2016, 02:12:07 PM »

The calculator is deeply flawed.  Whites from different cultural regions vote totally differently from one another.  Ditto with different Hispanic and Asian ethnic groups.  Even the blacks have different voting patterns based on region.  The uniform racial swing promoted by this calculator produces totally implausible results and renders it basically worthless.
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Asian Nazi
d32123
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,523
China


« Reply #1 on: May 08, 2016, 02:47:10 PM »

The calculator is deeply flawed.  Whites from different cultural regions vote totally differently from one another.  Ditto with different Hispanic and Asian ethnic groups.  Even the blacks have different voting patterns based on region.  The uniform racial swing promoted by this calculator produces totally implausible results and renders it basically worthless.

Actually, they do factor in region. Scroll down the page and you will see stuff about that.

No they don't?  Unless we're looking at totally different pages, all I see is a % breakdown by state.
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