MD-Rasmussen: Romney ahead by a Illinois-like margin

[jmc247]

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I had MD at 50+ Romney.

It could still happen.

Early PPP info from their twitter account about their polling samples today.

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My guess is that in Maryland the numbers we see for Newt and Paul in current polling won't hold up and alot of them will break where the momentum in the race is going... that being towards Romney.

[jmc247]

Oh I get it now. But I think I will need to take those 3 delegates back out of play in MD. MD-01 was substantially redrawn, and maybe made more Santorum friendly as the Pub pack CD, but he has a long way to go - a long, long way. Huckabee's best CD, MD-06, has been gutted, and is now much more of a Mittens demographic than it was - much more. Sorry about that.

So, Santorum has no certain CD's from Maryland?

[jmc247]

Oh I get it now. But I think I will need to take those 3 delegates back out of play in MD. MD-01 was substantially redrawn, and maybe made more Santorum friendly as the Pub pack CD, but he has a long way to go - a long, long way. Huckabee's best CD, MD-06, has been gutted, and is now much more of a Mittens demographic than it was - much more. Sorry about that.

So, Santorum has no certain CD's from Maryland?

If Mitten carries MD by say 15 or more points, Santorum is certain to lose them all. Probably a 10 point margin is enough to take them all out of play, but of that I am less certain.

Thanks, given Santorum is investing virtually all his time and effort into Wisconsin and how favorable Maryland already is to Romney demographically I think a more then 15 point spread is likely.