Italy 2013: The official thread

[Zuza]

VTR (Monti) - 14.2%

How such a huge leap can be explained?

[Zuza]

Are there still any chances that Berlusconi and Monti will form united right-wing coalition?

[Zuza]

the PD coalition has been clearly and consistently leading the polls for years now, and in any other country they would be a safe bet at this point

I doubt it (looking at the shifts in polls in the last one or two weeks before the last Dutch election).

[Zuza]

is there a chance that M5S would join the "Anti Corruption" coalition or are they really not joining anyone as I believe they previously stated?

According to Wikipedia, Grillo refused to join Civil Revolution.

Wikipedia also contains information about some liberal list named Stop the Decline (Fermare il Declino): http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stop_the_Decline. Are there any more information about it in English? Can it join, for example, Monti coalition?

[Zuza]

What is the Amnistia Giustizia Liberta?

[Zuza]

For Senate elections bonus applied, but on a regional rather than national basis.

[Zuza]

Wikipedia states that UDEUR is now a part of Project South list which in turn is a part of Berlusconi's coalition.

[Zuza]

Maybe it's too late, but I try to predict results too:
Bersani - 34.3%
   PD - 30.0%
   SEL - 3.4%
   DC - 0.5%
   SVP - 0.4%
Berlusconi - 29.3%
   PdL - 19.5%
   LN - 5.2%
   LD - 1.7%
   FdI - 1.6%
   Others - 1.3%
M5S - 18.9%
Monti - 10.3%
   SC - 6.9%
   UdC - 2.7%
   FLI - 0.7%
RC - 3.4%
FID - 2.4%
AGL - 0.5%
Others - 0.9%