Dolan has zero chance. While he is certainly no Mahoney and indeed has done much to clean up the sex abuse problem the Roman church faces in the US, that scandal along with the traditional reluctance to name a cardinal from the US so as to avoid becoming embroiled in the foreign policy controversies of our republic means that no US cardinal has a shot at being the next pope, no matter his record.
Do not to forget that Dolan is Archbishop of New York, a great example of the catholic nature of the flock. Dolan celebrates this at every opportunity.. A small vignette being midnight mass intentions read in something like 10 languages. The fact that Dolan and O'Malley are not being dismissed out of hand certainly makes it greater than zero....
