Yukon election, 2016

[Hatman 🍁]

Of note, the Liberals won every single election day poll (precinct) in the Territory in the federal election, and only lost three (and tied another) of the advance polls. If the territorial election is anything like the federal race, it's going to be a landslide.

I don't pretend to know much about Yukon politics, but incumbency is usually very strong up there and polls are generally useless.

[Hatman 🍁]

C'mon guys. The Yukon has the population of a small city. (at least by Canadian standards)

[Hatman 🍁]

It's just 'Yukon', not 'the Yukon' or 'The Yukon.'

"the Yukon" is perfectly acceptable, especially for us southerners.

[Hatman 🍁]

It's just 'Yukon', not 'the Yukon' or 'The Yukon.'

"the Yukon" is perfectly acceptable, especially for us southerners.

OK, you the southerner.

It was the Tony Penikett NDP government in Yukon that had the name officially changed from 'The Yukon' to 'Yukon'.

Meh. You can try all you want to change the vernacular, but I still say "the Yukon" just like I say "Ivor Coast", "East Timor" and "Cape Verde".

[Hatman 🍁]

har, har. I meant Ivory Coast of course. Officially it is "Côte d'Ivoire" in English.

[Hatman 🍁]

Date has been set for November 7th.

[Hatman 🍁]

These things are hard to predict due to bad/hard to do polling, but I will go out on a limb and predict a Liberal majority.

Keeping in mind I haven't done that much research, here are some predictions:

Klondike: Liberal
Kluane: Liberal
Lake Laberge: YP
Mayo-Tatchun: NDP
Mount Lorne-Southern Lakes: NDP
Pelly-Nisultin: YP
Vuntut Gwitchin: Liberal
Watson Lake: YP
Copperbelt North: Liberal
Copperbelt South: NDP
Moutainview: YP
Porter Creek Centre: Liberal
Porter Creek North: Liberal
Porter Creek South: Liberal
Riverdale North: Liberal
Riverdale South: NDP
Takhini-Kopper King: NDP
Whitehorse Centre: NDP
Whitehorse West: YP

I know that doesn't come out to a majority, so

[Hatman 🍁]

Of course, we could end up with a map like this:

[Hatman 🍁]

Well, that's 2 NDP incumbents down...

Not expecting this at all. Damn.

[Hatman 🍁]

Make that 3 NDP MLAs defeated. Kevin Barr loses in Mount Lorne-Southern Lakes

[Hatman 🍁]

And a 4th NDP MLA has gone down in defeat, Riverdale South MLA Jan Stick has lost to Liberal Tracy McPhee.

[Hatman 🍁]

The Premier has lost his seat in Mountainview to the Liberal candidate, Jeanie Dendys. He actually finished in 3rd place.

Despite losing almost all of their seats, the NDP is doing well in the popular vote at 28%.

[Hatman 🍁]

The NDP has retained Takhini-Kopper King. Has the bloodletting ended?

[Hatman 🍁]

Well, I did say the Liberals would win a majority!

Final seat count:
Lib: 11 (39%)
YP: 6 (33%)
NDP: 2 (26%)

[Hatman 🍁]