Canadian by-elections, 2012

[Hatman 🍁]

I would have voted for Pantalone too. But that's different. As a social democrat, I saw Smitherman being not much better than Ford.  However in this case, I would vote strategically to help the NDP. Even if that means voting Tory. Liberal victory means the NDP loses all of their power. A Tory (or NDP) victory means the NDP holds a huge amount of power. Don't get me wrong, I loathe strategic voting, but this is probably the only justifiable time for it. 

[Hatman 🍁]

Maybe? But this minority government isn't giving the Tories much power, so, it's not as important to them. Although, keeping a minority government means an earlier provincial election, which is good for them.

BTW, the Liberals appear to have a contested nomination meeting. One of the candidates is a city councillor.

[Hatman 🍁]

ew I voted for Smitherman.

[Hatman 🍁]

We're going to need a neighbourhood map...

[Hatman 🍁]

ooh Holmes must live on Steeles Ave

Well, if the Libs pick up K-W, then we can only hope the Tories win Vaughan. Not sure how likely that is. Italians havent abandoned the OLP quite yet.

[Hatman 🍁]

What do I think? Well it's too early to think, especially since no candidates have been nominated yet. But a PC win wouldn't surprise me at all. Still, it's a by-election, and weird things can happen, only to be "corrected" during the next election.

ooh Holmes must live on Steeles Ave

Yes, somewhat, although you could've always just looked at the map in my profile. I'm also about a 5 minute walk from Teddy too, but I'm too shy to meet him.

Perhaps the same reason I've never met Hash.. although he lives all the way in Orleans.

But yea, I knew you lived at York U, didn't know you were on Steeles.

[Hatman 🍁]

Well, that's the same reason I didn't make plans to meet you when you came down for the convention in March, although in my defense I did have plans for that day that didn't fall through. But uh if you're ever in the GTA again please force me out of hiding. Also Teddy scares me a bit too, that might be another reason I haven't met him. Hope he doesn't read that in case we meet one day.

Not meeting Teddy is probably a good idea.

[Hatman 🍁]

BO (They didn't think that one through, did they?) is in fact Teddy's Blog... or at least it's shared with another guy who runs it. It's a pretty good site, actually. (credit where credit is due).

Tommy, if you come to Ottawa, we should do a mini-Atlas meet up.

[Hatman 🍁]

A lot happening that week. :/

[Hatman 🍁]

A bit of an aside here: has anyone done (or is in the process of doing) polling maps for the 2011 Ontario election? (Esp. ones where we can figure which polls are which)

Geez, there's a link on my blog, but: http://www.globalnews.ca/pages/topicNew.aspx?id=6442556629

[Hatman 🍁]

oooh. Good news.

[Hatman 🍁]

OH... and Happy Birthday Hatman

Yes, this poll is a wonderful birthday present...lol

[Hatman 🍁]

it might not be the candidate so much as the campaign

[Hatman 🍁]

Fife is a good candidate, and worthy of a good campaign for sure. But she's not winning it on name recognition alone. I doubt most voters would have heard of her before the by-election. Can you even name your public school trustee? I can't, and I voted for her!

[Hatman 🍁]

Quebec has separate elections for school board which is a joke. What's the turnout, like 10%?

[Hatman 🍁]

why would cities refuse? Yesh, municipal elections have brutally low turnout anyway i couldn't imagine an election JUST for school trustees

Just like i don't get why in Vancouver you have seperate Parks board commissioners... wouldn't that just fall under city council direction? meh

A few municipalities in the area (eg Nepean) used to elect hydro commissoners before amalgamation.

[Hatman 🍁]

And there have been trustee byelections in Toronto in the past year, to replace Coteau + Wong after they were elected to Queen's Park...

I bet those would be fun o_0

Never had any trustee by-elections in recent memory in Ottawa. It's possible that such things don't exist.

[Hatman 🍁]

Wow. That's a lot of candidates for an election nobody cares about.

[Hatman 🍁]

safe NDP hold

[Hatman 🍁]

Vaughan 2011 provincial map:



(Also, introducing my new master key which I used on this map)

[Hatman 🍁]

(Also, introducing my new master key which I used on this map)

Me likey.

EDIT: Sorry to be looking a gift horse in the mouth, but any chance you might knock together some orange and green tones as well? Maybe a purple and a yellow, too?

No purple or yellow, sorry. Will have to wait for a municipal election for that. I know the mayor of Calgary used purple in his election.

[Hatman 🍁]

A gal from Elections Manitoba sent me a poll map of Fort Whyte, so expect a map of that as well. (Canadian Election Atlas exclusive!)

[Hatman 🍁]

Here's Kitchener-Waterloo:



Next is Fort Whyte

[Hatman 🍁]

Speaking of Kitchener Waterloo, it's impossible to listen to more than ten minutes of radio without an ad from either the Liberals (OMG TEH TORIES OUT TO KILL OUR TEACHERS!1!!), NDP (OMG BOTH TEH PARTIES IDENTICAL!!1!), or PCs (OMG TEH LIBS DROWNING UR KIDS IN DEBT!!1!1).

This is a big stakes by-election.

Should we be expecting record by-election turnout? Maybe 40... dare I say 50%?

[Hatman 🍁]

Argh Elections Manitoba sent me the new poll map of Ft Whyte being used for the by-election, instead of the last election. It appears to be very different, as there are some new developments in the south part of the riding which account for I think 5 new polls. But there are other shifts as well that I'm trying to figure out. Hopefully I can get a map up, but it's mostly all blue except for two polls that the NDP tied.