2011 Canadian Provincial Elections - Wrap-up phase. (user search)
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  2011 Canadian Provincial Elections - Wrap-up phase. (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2011 Canadian Provincial Elections - Wrap-up phase.  (Read 117504 times)
Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #125 on: October 04, 2011, 08:57:30 PM »
Quote from: mileslunn on October 04, 2011, 08:56:10 PM
Quote from: Hatman on October 04, 2011, 08:55:05 PM
308's going to get this one right Sad

Looks like it.  I think he even projected a Tory lead in popular vote but 15 seat deficit.

He didn't, actually. Meh. I'll get Ontario right Smiley
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #126 on: October 04, 2011, 10:29:42 PM »
For what it's worth, I only got 3 ridings wrong (Southdale, Swan River and Dawson Trail) Smiley
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #127 on: October 04, 2011, 11:02:59 PM »
The returning officer or some such person decides. Usually opts for some random measure such as drawing lots or coin toss.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #128 on: October 05, 2011, 03:01:27 PM »
Quote from: Tim Tax-Grab Hudak on October 05, 2011, 02:11:53 PM
The PCs raked up some HUGE rural Utah-like margins in southern Manitoba. Does anybody know if they had done similarly well in the same regions in 2007?

Yeah, but not quite that high. Lots of German Mennonites in districts like Steinbach and Morden-Winkler that love the Tories.

I blame Lewis.

Anyways, here's some maps of the NWT as they had their election on Monday as well: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.com/2011/10/northwest-territories-2011-election.html
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #129 on: October 05, 2011, 10:08:26 PM »
Interestingly low in the conservative south, I thought higher turnouts there accounted for their higher share of the vote, but I guess it's just as bad there as it is in the north.

I guess one advantage of FPTP is it evens out the non voters.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #130 on: October 07, 2011, 11:24:25 AM »
Quote from: Teddy (SoFE) on October 07, 2011, 09:00:50 AM
Signal Hill
St. John's Centre
Placentia
Labrador West

These are the only 4 ridings that consistently come up NDP
Burin?
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #131 on: October 07, 2011, 01:00:54 PM »
I got a phone blast from Olivia yesterday. I admire her going out there and doing this, I just hope the voters don't think it's off putting.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #132 on: October 11, 2011, 12:28:34 AM »
Final predictions:

http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.com/2011/10/newfoundland-and-labrador-2011-election.html
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #133 on: October 11, 2011, 09:04:40 AM »

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The Yukon will be pretty interesting. I didn't do a write-up, but I am looking forward to doing one after the election is over.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #134 on: October 11, 2011, 03:53:02 PM »
Polls close at 8pm in the Yukon, or 11pm Eastern. We won't have a problem with having to cover both races at the same time. Unfortunately I have to work tonight, so I wont be online to see the Newfy results.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #135 on: October 11, 2011, 09:43:41 PM »
I beat 308 once again. I got 9 ridings wrong. I believe he got 11 wrong. Smiley

The Straits was obviously the big surprise (the Essex of NL?); disappointment at Burin and Labrador West and not  being OO.

I'm not surprised at how well the Liberals did. It wasn't too long ago I had the Liberals winning the seats that they did, only to chicken out at the end.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #136 on: October 11, 2011, 10:22:18 PM »
I think the YP used blue last time.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #137 on: October 11, 2011, 10:30:19 PM »
heh. Sarah Palin reference.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #138 on: October 11, 2011, 10:35:01 PM »
BTW, Yukon opinion polls are sh*t. I remember the last one had the NDP doing well, but they only won 2 seats. 
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #139 on: October 11, 2011, 10:40:13 PM »
Liberal leader losing badly.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #140 on: October 11, 2011, 10:44:47 PM »
Hanson is declared elected!
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #141 on: October 11, 2011, 10:46:06 PM »
NDP at 5 seats now
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #142 on: October 11, 2011, 10:49:17 PM »
9-6 now. Minority possible.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #143 on: October 11, 2011, 10:54:21 PM »
NDP elected in Mayo-Tatchun, defeating the 15 year Liberal (former NDP) incumbent who finished third.

Quote from: Meeker on October 11, 2011, 10:50:54 PM
I'm not seeing any of this on the CBC's site. It's stuck at 5 seats reporting.

Watch the live video! http://www.cbc.ca/video/#/News/Canada/North/1305554399/ID=2129389336

10-5 now Sad

The YP leader is tied with the NDP with one poll to go
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #144 on: October 11, 2011, 10:56:47 PM »
The NDP candidate there I think was the first gay guy to get married in the territory.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #145 on: October 11, 2011, 10:59:46 PM »
Wow, the last poll was heavily YP, as their leader won by over 100 votes.

BTW, Elvis has 11 votes!
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #146 on: October 11, 2011, 11:01:10 PM »
Time to call this for the YP I think. Not sure if it's majority or minority though.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #147 on: October 11, 2011, 11:02:25 PM »
NDP wins Copperbelt South by 3 votes.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #148 on: October 11, 2011, 11:03:30 PM »
Liberal leader loses his seat
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #149 on: October 11, 2011, 11:06:30 PM »
Man, I wish ridings were this small here lol.
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