2014-2024 Ontario ridings (Canada)

[Hatman 🍁]

They're going to add ridings, aren't they? Like, more so than the original formula would give.

I would be down for this. I can at least do the Ottawa area. Apparently the start with Ottawa-Vanier to make sure there is a riding with lots of Francophones, and then work the other ridings around it.

My guess is Nepean-Carleton will split up.

[Hatman 🍁]

Under the new formula BC gains 7 seats, Alberta 5 seats and Ontario 10 seats.

If you check the post 'Canadian federal polling division files - page 28'. You can gerryminder at least a seat for the Consevatives in Toronto.

For sure, and I would support that, even though I'm an NDP supporter. 

Under the new formula BC gains 7 seats, Alberta 5 seats and Ontario 10 seats.

If you check the post 'Canadian federal polling division files - page 28'. You can gerryminder at least a seat for the Consevatives in Toronto.

I think it is now 21 seats in Ontario.  Dalton McGuinty made a big fuss about not adding enough seats to Ontario and intially the Tories ignored this since they wanted to change them in their favour, but after failing to make big gains in Quebec, while making gains in Ontario in 2008, I think they agreed to add 21 seats in Ontario.  Probably a lot of new ones in the 905 belt.  In places such as Mississauga and Brampton you could probably create a safe Conservative seat without too much trouble depending on how it was drawn up.  Hopefully they aren't gerrymandered in favour of any party.  I don't made one party gaining from re-distribution if most of the population growth has been in areas they are strong though, I just oppose gerrymandering in their favour.

Also as a side topic, does anyone think they will get rid of the mixed urban-rural ridings in Saskatchewan which seem to give the Tories an unfair advantage.

I hope so, but I doubt it.

[Hatman 🍁]

I'll do Ottawa.

[Hatman 🍁]

I'll do Ottawa.

Feel free... I dont know where you'll find enough population berakdowns within the city to get each riding to be within a small variance, but if you can find it, feel free to begin. I'm going to try to break Western and Eastern Ontario up.

Uhh, ever heard of geosearch? I can get population data down to the block.

[Hatman 🍁]

Ottawa eastern boundary fail

[Hatman 🍁]

Buron-Bruce?

[Hatman 🍁]

Well, Ottawa-Vanier's boundaries can stay the same.

[Hatman 🍁]

Well, Ottawa-Vanier's boundaries can stay the same.

Ok, I lied. I added a bit to make the riding more compact.

I also altered Ottawa-Olreans quite a bit. It lost Blackburn Hamlet and its rural bits, and gained the subdivision east of Trim Rd.

[Hatman 🍁]

Ottawa Centre remains the same. Ottawa South, despite losing people was too big, so I lopped off the southern bits. OWN also got some bits lopped off in the west.

[Hatman 🍁]

This is tricky, the city has too much rural areas...

[Hatman 🍁]

This is tricky, the city has too much rural areas...

Those goddamn sh**tholes always need to fuck everything up, don't they.

For sure. I'm going to have to divide Ottawa-Orleans somehow I think.

In the mean time, here's a new riding, "Kanata-Carleton". It's really just a smaller version of Carleton-Mississippi Mills. I removed MM and the former Goulbourn Twp.

[Hatman 🍁]

Ok, I kept going. I figured it out. The thing is, the rural/suburban ridings are underpopulated in this map, however, we all know by 2014 they will have filled in nicely.



So, really the new riding will be Rideau-Carleton. Coincidently the Rideau-Carleton raceway is in the heart of this new riding, so the name makes sense . Also, I added a bit of Nepean, so I thought Gloucester-Carleton would not be a good name (even though Nepean-Carleton currently includes part of Gloucester). I had to split Nepean South up in this, and its probably not the best split, but probably necessary.

As for political allegiances, this map produces 3 safe Tory ridings, 2 safe Liberal ridings, 2 bellwethers, and a safe NDP riding. So, the Tories gain a seat. However, Prescott-Russell will probably be more competitive now.

[Hatman 🍁]

Ok, I have names for the 7 Eastern Ontario ridings you haven't made yet. Borders will have to be figured out yet.

*Lanark-Frontenac (Lanark County plus Frontenac County and a bit of Kingston)
*Kingston and the Islands (slightly smaller than now)
*Prince Edward-Hastings-Lennox and Addington (those counties, minus southern Hastings)
*Quinte (southern Hastings)
*Northumberland-Peterborough (Northumberland County plus part of Peterborough County)
*Peterborough (some rejigging needed)
*Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes (self implied)

[Hatman 🍁]

Rough work
http://www.ridingbyriding.ca/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/ontario2014.png

That rural riding in western Ottawa would have very few people... maybe 30,000? You have to include Kanata in it.