Kerry leads in Iowa

[jravnsbo]

John has said it correctlly, good job!  4 days is a lifetime in politics with the poll a day system we are living with.

well there are four more days left tell people go to the polls then they will chose who they want

[jravnsbo]

if edwards win, whoa, the earth will shake.

If anyone but dean wins its a story, plus it could be a slugfest for months.  If they are all close they all are encouraged, except I still think Gephardt must win.  But if close he may hang in there till feb 3

A dean second place finish in Iowa to Kerry is merely a speed bump.  but if Edwards wins, it becomes more than that.

[jravnsbo]

Don'tcha love politics, it all can change so quickly.

if edwards win, whoa, the earth will shake.

If anyone but dean wins its a story, plus it could be a slugfest for months.  If they are all close they all are encouraged, except I still think Gephardt must win.  But if close he may hang in there till feb 3

A dean second place finish in Iowa to Kerry is merely a speed bump.  but if Edwards wins, it becomes more than that.

This race might take an unexpected twist if Clark runs into trouble on Iraq-lies and Dean gets hurt badly in Iowa. Suddenly the two major candidates could be knocked down, and if Gephardt performs badly in Iowa, the whole picture might change completely.

[jravnsbo]

I said I think he would be the most formidable of the 9, well 8 now.  He just doesn't have the baggage that the others do.  His weakness is inexperience in politics, but get past that with some good ideas and sell that to people and could be formidable.

Fear no, I still say its Bush's to lose, but edwards is the most formidable IMO.

Gephardt, Kerry, and Edwards have to win Iowa, but Dean doesn't.  Edwards v. Dean would be an interesting race.

Does the GOP fear Edwards?

[jravnsbo]

Gep needs to win or close 2d to survive and move on.  IF this happens he stays for a long while picking up MO and ND on Feb 3.

Kerry- needs a 3rd at minimum, anything extra is a bib boost heading into NH.  Maybe "lurch" is lurching back!

Dean- Needs win, or close 2d-3rd would be devastating.  But then again he still has a lot of money and could be int he race a long while.

Edwards- a close 4th ina tight field would be decent, anything higher is a boost and beats expectations.

If Dean doesn't win or is close this could be a long nominating process.

[jravnsbo]

go to the democrats for Bush" forum and html explained it to me in detail there.

how do u get those pictures on there like the ones people have of bush and dean

[jravnsbo]

california is a bonus anyway.  If bush wins other states cali doesn't matter, btu a must for dems.

Plus Arnold just won and is doing well.  Plus I am more hopeful to build there for the future and down ballot elections.