Florida

[jravnsbo]

Florida will go for BUsh.  Jeb won in  landslide after an all out assault.  Plus Bush just delivered on Presc drugs to seniors as he promised.  Plus Lieberman will not be on the ticket to garner Jewish vote and Bush has been fighting terrorism and supportive of protecting Israel.

I just don't see TN being in play, it will go for GOP.  If it didn't go for GOre in 200 a fav soon whya  nother Dem.  Yes Dems won a house race and Gov in 2002 , but both of those Dems ran as conservatives.  Same thing in LA and AR, dems may win some races but as conservative Dems, not like a liberal Dem, like Dean.

[jravnsbo]

Well landslide as you define it wouldn't be how I would as Jeb was targeting i think stupidly by McAuliffe ( TY GOD for him from GOP perspective!) as he used resources there instead of defending the Senate.  Any event Florida stays Bush country.

I don't think Graham could save it for Dems either.  As he increased his criticism of Bush, his own poll numbers dropped in FL to an all time low.

--Since a Florida page, how about Senate race here, what does everyone think?  GOP field is wide open, but have good candidates esp if Mel Martinez runs for GOP.  Dems have 3: Penallas (Hispanic mayor of Miami) and Rep Deutsch (Jewish vote) and Castor ( lady and ed dir for fl formerly).  The 2 guys HATE each other and are regional in the states.  It looks like if DEm are smart they will nom Castor, and GOP benefits by either of the other 2 winning the nomination.

Gephardt has not run statewide in MO before.  While it would be harder to win that state with him on a ticket, also weighing the other way is Gov Holden (D).  he is terribly unpopular and will have a strong primary challenge I hear.

[jravnsbo]

funny how the AARP has always supported the same programs and Dems have embraced them with open arms when they were passing the bills.  Now that the GOP passes medicare with presc drugs AARP is suddenly evil and the Dems immediately criticize thema nd push them to the side and tear up their membership cards.

[jravnsbo]

what abou tthe senate race factor?  Doesn't nominating Martinez help the GOP to mobilize Hispanic voters to elect a hispanic Senator?

Question--has there ever been a hispanic senator?  Maybe there is an obvious one I'm missing, so really asking.