As respectable as Gallup is, the numbers just do not add up. Only 2% undecided voters? Sorry, not at this stage. Gallup looks to have done an agressive job to push leaners. The fact that support for Bush is 5% greater in this poll than it is in all the other polls points to again this being a outlier.
Lets wait for:
Ipsos
TIPP
Battleground
Democracy Corps (Quinlan Greenburg Rosen)
NBC(Hart/Teeter)
before we make any conclusions, so far the bounce, if there even is one, looks pretty weak.
POS starts another round of state polls tonight till thursday night, so if there is any real bounce we should see it in these state polls.
Kerry "Bounce-O-Meter"
Rasmussen +1
CBS +1
Zogby +3
ARG -1
Newsweek +1 (head to head or +4 in 3 way)
Gallup -5 (or -1 in Register voters 2 way race)
ABC +8 (purely a guess at this point)
If we toss out the high and the low (Gallup and ABC) lets call it 1 or 2% or so...
Other than Gallup, the "good" (IMHO) polls have not reported yet.
I agree with Kerry friendly, but Bush has done next to no campaigning with the exception of his 2 day swing through Ohio and Pennsylvania. This must be the most "bounceless" election so far.
