BLM riots delivering Minnesota to Trump?

[SingingAnalyst]

Not a bad question for a first-timer.

I'm going to guess you're young, white, and suburban. Please forgive me if I'm wrong.

Looking way back, I have little doubt that the "long hot summers" of the 1960s hurt Humphrey a bit in 1968, though the Vietnam War was also a big factor.

In the aftermath of the 1992 Rodney King LA riots, only 4% of respondents said they would help President Bush (41), with 10% saying they'd help Clinton and 9% saying they'd help Ross Perot.

Today is different. I have heard no one attempt to in any way nuance their condemnation of, much less condone, what that cop did to George Floyd. The conservative National Review roundly condemned the 4-day delay in arresting Derek Chauvin. Why none of the other 3 officers have been charged is beyond me.

Having said that, yes, those who were directly harmed by the MN looting, fires, etc. may be slightly
--slightly--more likely to vote Trump than before. But for most people, the optics do not favor Trump. He has called for more force against protesters--many of them peaceful. Many white youth and even law enforcement officers are joining the movement against police misconduct, which tends to hurt Trump's chances.

The only hope of Trump being helped overall is that people are secretly harboring ill will toward the protesters. But I think the number of those who would previously have voted Biden, and are now leaning Trump, is quite small.

I look forward to seeing you grow politically.