2016: each close state flips (user search)
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  2016: each close state flips (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2016: each close state flips  (Read 674 times)
SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
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Posts: 3,637
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« on: January 27, 2018, 09:56:46 AM »
« edited: January 27, 2018, 10:11:05 AM by mathstatman »

By reversing every state won with a margin of less than 1.00%, we get this:

Clinton/Kaine 48.02% / 274 EV
Trump/Pence 45.93% / 264 EV

(Except for 5500 real-life Trump voters in MI, 11500 in WI, and 22500 in PA who voted Clinton instead, and 1500 real-life Clinton voters in NH and 38000 in CA [hey, I had to flip 39500 votes somewhere] who voted Trump instead, every voter voted as IRL. The national PV totals for all candidates are exactly as IRL).

Timeline:
Everything through 2:12 AM is called as IRL. As of 2:39 AM, Trump leads, 248-218 and continues to hold a razor-thin PV lead.
***
AZ, MI, MN, NH, PA, and WI have not been called yet. Trump leads in AZ and in NH (by 264 votes or 0.036%); Clinton leads in MN and is holding onto wire-thin leads in MI (296 votes), PA (708 votes), and WI (252 votes).

Does Clinton, the rightful winner, concede (and later retract it, of course, just as Gore had done 16 years earlier IRL)? How do Trump and his supporters react at 3:04 AM when WI and PA are called for Clinton, bringing the EVs to a 248-248 tie? Are the 7 real-life faithless electors still faithless? (If so, then Clinton comes down to 269 EV-- one short). Are the calls by some to eliminate the EC still as prevalent and intense?
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SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
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*****
Posts: 3,637
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 28, 2018, 11:25:12 AM »

Trump doesn't concede, slams "voter fraud" in PA, MI and WI and rigged election. Civil unrest breaks out between pro and anti-Trump supporters


Sadly, I think you are correct.
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