Since no one has mentioned this yet, I suspect Mondale had no chance in 1984 among working-class white voters in Buffalo, Chicago, Cleveland, and Detroit, once this news broke:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jerzy_Popie%C5%82uszko#AssassinationI was a freshman at MIT at the time, and in Cambridge I never heard a thing about this; however, I'm sure people back home in largely Polish-American Sterling Heights, Michigan, heard about it. A few days later, Reagan won 70% in Sterling Heights, 64% in Warren, 48.5% in Detroit's District 6 (which was starting to have a significant Black voter population), and even 41% in Hamtramck (slogan: A Bit of Europe in America). More evidence that politically motivated actions can have far-reaching consequences.