Impact of a Clinton victory in 2016 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 08, 2024, 02:46:27 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  Impact of a Clinton victory in 2016 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Impact of a Clinton victory in 2016  (Read 7702 times)
SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,637
United States


« on: May 07, 2015, 08:24:17 PM »

While it is hard to predict events either before Election 2016 or during Clinton's first term (a major terror attack, economic crisis, etc.), it seems certain that the GOP, if it loses both the PV and the EV in 2016, will fully embrace SSM and abortion rights. It will have to if it doesn't want to appear to anyone under 50 (60? 70?) as the party of the past. It will find other ways to distinguish itself from the Democrats. Green, conservative and libertarian parties will continue to grow in popularity, and the number of communities that use IRV will grow.  I believe Clinton, like her husband, will govern as a centrist.

What seems quite likely, however, is that Clinton will lose the popular vote but still win the election if the GOP wins back FL, OH, and possibly either VA or CO (but not both). In this case the GOP may be energized as the Dems were after 2000 and might not make any platform changes just yet.

Either way, Clinton governs as a centrist.
Logged
SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,637
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2015, 06:16:47 PM »
« Edited: May 10, 2015, 06:18:29 PM by mathstatman »

While it is hard to predict events either before Election 2016 or during Clinton's first term (a major terror attack, economic crisis, etc.), it seems certain that the GOP, if it loses both the PV and the EV in 2016, will fully embrace SSM and abortion rights. It will have to if it doesn't want to appear to anyone under 50 (60? 70?) as the party of the past. It will find other ways to distinguish itself from the Democrats. Green, conservative and libertarian parties will continue to grow in popularity, and the number of communities that use IRV will grow.  I believe Clinton, like her husband, will govern as a centrist.

What seems quite likely, however, is that Clinton will lose the popular vote but still win the election if the GOP wins back FL, OH, and possibly either VA or CO (but not both). In this case the GOP may be energized as the Dems were after 2000 and might not make any platform changes just yet.

Either way, Clinton governs as a centrist.

It seems quite likely that the Republicans would embrace homosexual marriage, but I doubt they'd embrace abortion.

Ironic, if true, since abortion rights were thought by many to be a done deal in 1973, while homosexuality was still classified as mental illness by the APA.

What I can see is the GOP distinguishing itself from the Dems in supporting abortion rights during the first 20 weeks, supporting the rights of states to decide after that, and supporting bans on late-term abortions, all the while giving moral support to pro-life crisis pregnancy centers and expressing a general desire to see the number of abortions (continue to) decline. Too many people I think are uncomfortable with the GOP platform's support of a near-total ban, and have felt this way since at least 1989.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 12 queries.