What will be the closest state

[Comrade Funk]

Minnesota. Narrow Obama win.

So...Minnesota is more a tossup than Virginia, Florida, or Ohio?

Virginia or Florida imo.

[Comrade Funk]

Minnesota. Narrow Obama win.

So...Minnesota is more a tossup than Virginia, Florida, or Ohio?

Virginia or Florida imo.

The question has nothing to do with what you think the toss up states are now. The question asked what the closest state will be on election day. Its basically another way to ask how close you think the election is going to be. Right now Obama is probably up to 1-2 nationally. Based on that, I think Virginia would be the closest state. But as the national vote changes the "toss ups" change.  I expect the popular vote to swing to about Romney + 4 by election day.  That is a 10 point improvement compared to McCain. And McCain lost Minnesota by 10. So thats why I picked Minnesota.

If Romney gains, I see PA being closer than MN. I guess we'll agree to disagree though.