These numbers look fishy to me. No one's cared enough about this race to this point for Villaigrossa to fall from the mid-teens to 7%. Also, no one knows enough about who John Chiang is for him to overtake the former mayor of Los Angeles. I think there's a reasonable chance for Cox to end up being second, but there's no reason right now to think he'll have such a decisive margin.
This is the first time I've seen Villaraigosa so low in polling. I have no doubt that once he starts advertising that Republicans will be shut out of the top two.
The advertising has already started, the primary is in 47 days.
Eh... that's a long time. I think everyone on this board realizes that 47 days is more than enough time to get the shifts in support necessary to get to second place in the primary. Anyway, as someone who actually lives in California, I can confidently say the primary hasn't really entered that significantly into the minds of the electorate yet. It will very soon, but it's still being overshadowed by whatever ridiculous thing Trump is doing atm.
