If the Democrats lose the White House in November 2016, they'll win the midterms of 2018 (and, quite possibly, flip the U.S. House and/or U.S. Senate) under a Republican president who drives down party support and turns up opposition party motivation (as is typically the case with midterm elections). And if I'm wrong about 2018, that will be because the 2016 Republican presidential pickup winner gets re-elected in 2020 (and that it would be 2022, Year #06, for those Democratic pickups; remember: the House flips from the president's party first).
I agree with that logic, but in 2018, Democrats would still working off of a really hostile Senate map, and a massive deficit in the House. If things are going really badly for the GOP, I guess taking back the House would be in the realm of possibility, but in the Senate, the only plausible pickups seem to be Nevada and maybe Arizona, while they'll have to defend Montana, ND, Missouri, etc. (Ofc, the Democrats
winning 2016 sets up an absolute bloodbath in the Senate in 2018.)
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