OH-2 Special Election Coverage and Prediction thread... (user search)
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  OH-2 Special Election Coverage and Prediction thread... (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH-2 Special Election Coverage and Prediction thread...  (Read 28837 times)
Jake
dubya2004
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Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« on: August 01, 2005, 04:36:07 PM »

57-43 Schmidt
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Jake
dubya2004
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*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2005, 07:20:53 PM »

Forgive Alcon, he forgot to pay attention to a already finished congressional race Tongue Not everyone has built their life around a race between a female GOP hack and a Michael Moore pawn.
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Jake
dubya2004
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*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #2 on: August 01, 2005, 07:46:24 PM »

Now that the money is in, the race is finished.
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Jake
dubya2004
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*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #3 on: August 01, 2005, 08:24:01 PM »

Now that the money is in, the race is finished.

The more the voters see Schmidt, the less they'll like her. She is not a likeable candidate.

That's why Schmidt will win. I've heard nothing on the media about this race. Turnout will be very low, maybe 20-25%. Low turnout will certainly favor the GOP and Schmidt will win.
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Jake
dubya2004
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*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #4 on: August 01, 2005, 11:22:30 PM »

Doubtful. The news between talk shows will probably give it some attention to tell the winner.
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Jake
dubya2004
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*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #5 on: August 02, 2005, 05:50:00 PM »

Hahaha, no. Dems here were calling for 35-40% turnout figures. Hackett has zero chance to win with 15-20% turnout.
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Jake
dubya2004
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*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #6 on: August 02, 2005, 06:12:22 PM »

Hahaha, no. Dems here were calling for 35-40% turnout figures.

Where did you see that?

Defarge - Page Three
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Jake
dubya2004
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*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #7 on: August 02, 2005, 07:10:12 PM »

The Brown results are absentee only for now
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Jake
dubya2004
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*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #8 on: August 02, 2005, 09:03:31 PM »

Schmidt has won at this point.  Kudos to her.  But if this is any sign of what is to come next year, the party is on its way to taking its place in the sun.

That's just the thing. It's not an indication of anything to come. Next year, Schmidt will win this by the normal totals in a non-by election.
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Jake
dubya2004
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #9 on: August 02, 2005, 09:14:50 PM »

Schmidt has won at this point.  Kudos to her.  But if this is any sign of what is to come next year, the party is on its way to taking its place in the sun.

That's just the thing. It's not an indication of anything to come. Next year, Schmidt will win this by the normal totals in a non-by election.

Sorta... if the Democratic Party could find a lot more candidates like Hackett, they could potentially make some serious headway.

That's a very large "if", however.

It wasn't the candidate, though that helped, but the simple fact that this was the only race going on. Meaning that the Democrats and their internet/527 block made this race priority number one. This only shows that when taken by themselves, most races are winnable. Combine them with the hype of midterms or presidential elections and they revert back to normal.

Scoonie - I've been following this thread, but just don't get into analyzing results until it's over. And you must be a massive moron if you think that had this race been run next year, Schmidt wouldn't have won by 20-30 points. Nice try at trying to spin a victory out of this one though.
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Jake
dubya2004
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*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #10 on: August 02, 2005, 09:28:35 PM »

And so it shows absolutely no change in their ideology whatsoever, and says absolutely nothing about the ability of Democrats to compete in this district with a normal candidate in the future.

What bullsh*t.  Any Republican should win this district by 20%+ at worst.

You're telling me a 1% loss means nothing? Keep drinking the Kool-Aid.

It means nothing other than that an energized, well organized party with the resources can make any by-election competitive. I'm sure Al or another British member can vouch for that from experience over the pond.
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Jake
dubya2004
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*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #11 on: August 02, 2005, 10:51:06 PM »

Kudos to Casey. Nice prediction man Smiley
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Jake
dubya2004
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*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #12 on: August 02, 2005, 11:01:51 PM »

Maybe Atlantis will suddenly rise again in Texarkana. Doubtful though.
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Jake
dubya2004
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #13 on: August 02, 2005, 11:07:19 PM »

Hahaha, I'll agree with that.
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Jake
dubya2004
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,621
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -0.90, S: -0.35

« Reply #14 on: August 03, 2005, 12:44:50 AM »

Even worse news than that: You still have people like Scoonie in your party.
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