Mexican Elections 2017-18

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Looks like the PT guy dropped out in favor of Delfina Gómez in Mexico State. http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/articulo/metropoli/edomex/2017/05/27/delfina-suma-apoyo-del-prd-pt-y-sindicatos

He doesn't have much support but it might not take much to put her over the edge.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

The National Indigenous Congress (CNI) has chosen activist and traditional medicine practitioner Marichuy Patricio Martínez as their candidate for the 2018 presidential election. http://www.sistemamichoacano.tv/noticias/22-nacional/18257-marichuy-patricio-la-candida-indigena-para-el-2018

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

The National Indigenous Congress (CNI) has chosen activist and traditional medicine practitioner Marichuy Patricio Martínez as their candidate for the 2018 presidential election. http://www.sistemamichoacano.tv/noticias/22-nacional/18257-marichuy-patricio-la-candida-indigena-para-el-2018

My understanding is that this "Indian Governance Council" is just a front organization of the Zapatistas.  Of course because the council is not a registered political party, it may need signatures to get Patricio on the ballot.

Oh, it very much is the Zapatistas - I had actually heard quite a while back that they were planning to run an indigenous woman in 2018 as part of their transition toward politics; this must be the conclusion of that.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Edomex (non-null vote) with around 13% of the vote counted

Morena              32.58%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  30.97%
PRD                     18.90%
PAN                     11.28%
PRI rebel                2.23%
PT                         0.96% (has dropped out in favor of Morena)

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Edomex (non-null vote)  25% of the vote counted

Morena              32.14%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  31.43%
PRD                     18.49%
PAN                     11.57%
PRI rebel                2.25%
PT                         1.00% (has dropped out in favor of Morena)

The preliminary results keep tightening!

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Edomex preliminary vote, 32% of the vote counted

Morena              32.12%
PRI-PVEM-PANAL  31.60%
PRD                     18.66%
PAN                     11.28%
PRI rebel                2.22%
PT                         1.01% (has dropped out in favor of Morena)

Tighter and tighter~

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

With 43% of the vote in, Del Mazo (PRI) has surpassed Gómez (Morena) with 31.97% to 31.94%. Looks like the old guard is gaining an edge, folks.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

70% of the Edomex vote is in, looks like the PRI is holding onto the governorship. Coahuila looks extremely close as well.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Looks like the PRD (and AMLO's personality) may be the kingmakers here.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Doesn't look like Zavala's national tour is going well for her, is it?

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

I wonder if Osorio Chong's role in (denying) the government spying scandal will have any effect on his chances, seeing as he looks to be the likely PRI nominee.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Doesn't look like Zavala's national tour is going well for her, is it?

It's not.  She seems to be losing ground to PAN president Anaya.  The more people see of her the more unpopular she seems to get.  Her poll rating is falling to to about the same as a generic PAN candidate.  This means Anaya is gaining ground internally within PAN and as a result PAN has decided to go for an opposition alliance, which is what Anaya is pushing for versus Zavala's position of going it alone.

I've heard talk of the PAN-PRD alliance running Anaya for President and Alejandra Barrales for governor of Mexico City to smooth things out for both of them? How accurate would you say that is and do you think those plans would affect a potential PAN-PRD alliance?

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

I've heard talk of the PAN-PRD alliance running Anaya for President and Alejandra Barrales for governor of Mexico City to smooth things out for both of them? How accurate would you say that is and do you think those plans would affect a potential PAN-PRD alliance?

Yep, that is what I am reading as well.  Of course there are flies in the ointment.   PAN's  Zavala is opposed to this deal, especially the part where she is not the PAN candidate, and while she will not run as an independent, her faction might not go all in during the campaign.  Current head of Mexico City Mancera who would most like the PRD candidate could end up running separately as an independent.  It is not all that clear yet that Anaya and Barrales unite their respective parties behind this alliance with defections to AMLO or independent runs.

Certainly, and even if Mancera wouldn't want to run as an independent there's a contingent of perredistas who would end up going for AMLO anyway.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Apparently the PVEM is "open" to joining the PAN-PRD alliance. http://www.jornada.unam.mx/ultimas/2017/06/28/pvem-da-la-espalda-al-pri-y-voltea-al-pan-y-prd

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Meade resigns and declares for the PRI nomination. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-27/meade-to-seek-mexico-ruling-party-nod-in-2018-presidential-race