Is it just me, or FiveThirtyEight changing? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 06, 2024, 02:39:10 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  U.S. General Discussion (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Chancellor Tanterterg)
  Is it just me, or FiveThirtyEight changing? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Is it just me, or FiveThirtyEight changing?  (Read 1143 times)
Negusa Nagast 🚀
Nagas
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,826
United States


« on: August 24, 2016, 12:25:26 AM »

I do actually think that their analysis of the General Election gets to much crap -- they overestimated the application of history to this year's primary, but the General Election probably is a lot more predictable.  Still, more of a grain of salt there than in the past, too.

Agreed. Silver and co bought in heavily to the Party Decides theory of primaries, despite the small sample size of competitive primaries in the modern era and said primaries having data points that the party establishment does not always decide.

Their coverage of the election has drastically improved since Silver's mea culpa on Trump's primary win.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 12 queries.