VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)

[Yank2133]

Gillespie is closing hard and should finish off Northam with ads about the Redskins.

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[Yank2133]

Gillespie is closing hard and should finish off Northam with ads about the Redskins.

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Where is this from?

It is from Kondik and Skelley from UVA Center of Politics. This race reminds me a bit of the 2012 presidential election, in which there was a ton of noise coming from both GOP hacks and concerning trolling liberals, but the race for the most part was fairly stable from start to finish.

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[Yank2133]

I see the gop hack polling firm effect is in full swing.

Never fails.

[Yank2133]

Northam's internals have him polling around Hillary levels (mid-30s) in rural VA. No particular enthusiasm for either candidate.

I mean, the actual story in that article is surely Northam running 15 points better than Clinton in rural Virginia. That seems like a huge thing if it's true. Then again, it's internal polling so I'm inclined to distrust it.

Yeah, if those internals are true then Ed is already DOA.

Take it with a grain of salt, but early voting numbers in NOVA look to be good for Northam and Ed can only offset such a decline in rural areas if he is exceeding his 2014 numbers in NOVA.

Hell, Northam could lose all the undecided voters in this scenario and still win by 4-5 points.

[Yank2133]

If we lose this, maybe Democrats will learn to stop going with the milquetoast candidate (Northam) just because he's next in line, over the candidate with actual enthusiasm behind him (Perrielo).

It would be nice if people knew what they were talking about before commenting about this election.

Northam winning had nothing to do with being next in line. He won because he built up years of support with AA voters in the state, that was the biggest reason why he beat Perriello.