These numbers are explainable if you ignore demographics and look at geography and sort states into inflation resistant and inflation impacted.
Inflation impacted is Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, Texas, Florida, North Carolina, California, NYC, New Jersey, Tennessee. These states have endured unnatural growth in housing costs or high gas prices.
Inflation resistant is Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, and a bunch of northern safe R states. These states have comparatively cheaper gas and stable growth patterns. Even the outliers, like Madison, have less of a housing problem with flat farmland in every direction.
This is interesting, could explain what is going on.
