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exnaderite
Junior Chimp
Posts: 7,223
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« on: February 18, 2008, 12:45:42 AM » |
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Since 2000, we've had three new independent states: East Timor, Montenegro, and Kosovo (the last is controversial). In the 1990s we had dozens emerging from the Soviet Union, Yugoslavia, Ethiopia, South Africa, and Czechoslavia. Iraq briefly annexed Kuwait and then lost. Germany was reunited. Hong Kong and Macau returned to China, and several islands in the Pacific cut ties from Washington.
So when's the next time we see a change in the world map?
My non-expert thoughts in order from most likely to least likely are:
Serb parts of Kosovo vote to stay with Serbia. South Sudan peacefully secedes from the Arab-dominated government. BiH is dissolved as the Serb part follows Kosovo's precedent. The frozen conflicts in South Ossetia, Abkhazia, Transnistria, and Nagarano-Karabakh are somehow resolved. Belgium is quietly dissolved, with Flanders remaining independent and Wallonia joining France. Taiwan reinstates itself in China after a few years of democracy in Beijing. Kim Jong Il falls in NK, and a bloody power struggle results in Chinese intervention and reunification. Eastern Bolivia secedes from the Indian-dominated government. Belarus dictator Lukashenko annexes his country with Russia. Catalonia and Scotland secede from Madrid and London.
That's all I can see as remotely realistic at this time.
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