NYC'13: Congrats to Mayor de Blasio (user search)
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  NYC'13: Congrats to Mayor de Blasio (search mode)
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Author Topic: NYC'13: Congrats to Mayor de Blasio  (Read 75004 times)
Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,030


« on: January 19, 2013, 12:01:34 PM »

My predictions:

Christine Quinn vs. John Catsimatidis: Safe D
Bill de Blasio vs. John Catsimatidis: Safe D
John Liu vs. John Catsimatidis: Safe D
Bill Thompson vs. John Catsimatidis: Safe D

Christine Quinn vs. Joseph Lhota: Safe D
Bill de Blasio vs. Joseph Lhota: Safe D
John Liu vs. Joseph Lhota: Safe D/Likely D
Bill Thompson vs. Joseph Lhota: Likely D

Christine Quinn vs. Ray Kelly: Toss-up, Tilt D
Bill de Blasio vs. Ray Kelly: Pure Toss-up
John Liu vs. Ray Kelly: Lean R
Bill Thompson vs. Ray Kelly: Toss-up, Tilt R

I think John Liu is completely unelectable. But then, he'll never make it through the primary.
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,030


« Reply #1 on: August 15, 2013, 12:23:44 PM »

Black voters just don't seem very interested in Thompson, and De Blasio's used his family so aggressively that I doubt Thompson will make up much more ground.

I'm thinking a De Blasio/Quinn run-off, followed by a very competitive Lhota/De Blasio general election. Lhota will pick up a LOT of Quinn supporters.
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,030


« Reply #2 on: September 08, 2013, 09:56:51 PM »

If Spitzer and Stringer are within the margin of error, I think Stringer wins. He's got the machine behind him.
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,030


« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2013, 02:19:02 PM »

Guys, Bill de Blasio is the Democratic nominee. I know you Pubs and right-wing Democrats have a hard time grappling with that, but it's what happened, so stop theorizing about these bizarre scenarios in which de Blasio ends up at 39.99% and Bill Thompson miraculously swoops in and wins the runoff, sparing the city from a stoopid librul and fostering a victory for apologetic liberalism. You guys are literally the only 8 people in the country espousing these Waiting-for-Godot-esque theories, so just stop, go take a bike ride or go skydiving or something.

Lhota has a far better chance against De Blasio than Thompson. Short of Liu or Weiner, this was the best thing that could have happened to him.

These next two months are going to be a bare-knuckle brawl between two visions for the city.
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