interesting scenario Defe:
Okay first Clinton is in bad shape because she's perceived as stealing the nom. However, dems rally to her because of a potential down slump in the economy.
Paul has little impact because he's perceived as far from the mainstream and a economically right message doesn't work with the electorate when the economy is looking bad.
McCain holds a decent position because he doesn't get bloodied in the primary fight and conservatives come around to him strongly. However, he advocates no intervention in the economic problems that are looming...sealing his fate, since a panic is on the horizon.
53% Clinton
45% McCain
2% Paul