Moray By-election (Holyrood)

[Ben.]

So where will Tory votes go?

To the Tories? They should finish second in  Moray and the SNP seem worried that the Tories could at the very least be taking votes away from their candidate and might even have a chance of winning the seat. 

[Ben.]

Here's the % swings needed for each party to gain Moray (compared with Election 2003)

Conservatives: 9.85%
Labour: 11.54%
Liberal Democrats: 15.02%
Scottish Socialists: 19.09%

Supposing a swing from the SNP to the Tories took place and that was supported by a the defection of leftie SNP’ers and Labourites to the LibDems a Tory win would be a strong possibility.

No doubt I'll be disappointed and see the SNP hang on... but it'd be interesting to see a Tory win, so I hope what Afleitch reports is true, what evidence of the Tory campaign I’ve seen seems pretty solid, so we might see a Tory by-election win which would be very satisfying, especially in Scotland and over the SNP.   

[Ben.]

Your optimism makes me wonder Ben, have you officially converted to the Tories?

I havent got any desire to see Labour do well, and yes I'd like to see the Tories do well at the moment, however its all fairly dispationate really... overall it seems that the Tories still have a long way to go to recovery (though their making progress), the LibDems have sunken into irrelevance and Labour seem to have given up governing the country all together.

[Ben.]

Election day... any news?