Bump -does anyone want to change or stand by their predictions?
Not really, with it looking like Romney will not run for re-election in MA, I’d call that state as Dem pickup, mean while I stand by my main calls that Dems pickup NY, OH and AL with other likely pickups in AR and MD… but I’m still betting that Arnie holds on CA.
I will say that Rendell won’t have an easy re-election IMHO, but he’ll still win meanwhile WI and MI will be closer and WI might flip to the GOP but at the moment the most promising and indeed possibly the only GOP pickup looks like being Iowa.
Meaning a nation picture that in early 2007 looks something like this...
…and taking into account, the effects of Katrina and existing trends that means that prior to the presidential race in 2008 things look something like…
…I just don’t know if Katrina will do for Blanco, and I think Barbour will face Mike Moore in 07 and he just isn’t going to beat such a popular Democrat in an off year election IMHO, meanwhile in Kentucky Fletcher is done and with him the state GOP if he runs for re-election any half decent Dem will beat him by a solid margin, even if he doesn’t run the race will still lean to the Dems.