If Bush can win all the states he did in 2000, plus New Mexico, Vermont, The Northwest and Iowa, it would be a slight landslide. Plus, California would add alot of spunk.
States such as Washington, Vermont and California just will not vote for Bush...Oregon potentially but even there I would say the Dems have a strong advantage...having said that this time around I would say that Bush has advantages in tow "Gore states" NM and IA while Kerry has advantages in NH and OH and perhaps WV but these advantages in OH and WV are not as solid as Bush's in NM and IA IMHO...