2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please

[smoltchanov]

The 4th could be a dark horse race to follow. Thompson's no longer running in a special election, sure, and Estes has a lot more money now, but Thompson is nonetheless running a stellar campaign. He's just opened an office in the rural Western portion of the district (Pratt County) and has a relatively large pool of volunteers.

Is the Dem in KS-01 remotely competitive then?

Unlikely....

[smoltchanov]

The 4th could be a dark horse race to follow. Thompson's no longer running in a special election, sure, and Estes has a lot more money now, but Thompson is nonetheless running a stellar campaign. He's just opened an office in the rural Western portion of the district (Pratt County) and has a relatively large pool of volunteers.

Is the Dem in KS-01 remotely competitive then?

Alan La Police is the Democrat running in the Kansas first district, he ran in the district as an independent in 2016.

And - as Republican in 2014 primary....

[smoltchanov]

CA-45: Global Strategy Group (D), July 26-31, 500 likely voters (live caller poll)

Mimi Walters (R, inc) 45%
Katie Porter 44%

Trump's approval is horrendous here too:

39% Approve
58% Disapprove

Yet Walters continues to vote as if she represents AL-01.

The Republican Party is a big tent. You have the conservatives like Walters who vote with Trump 99% of the time, and the moderates like Comstock that who vote with Trump a mere 98% of the time.

This is such a brutally accurate indictment.

(Looking at my "Almanac of American politics 1972") Sigh, yes. Though situation among Democrats is roughly the same..

[smoltchanov]

CA-45: Global Strategy Group (D), July 26-31, 500 likely voters (live caller poll)

Mimi Walters (R, inc) 45%
Katie Porter 44%

Trump's approval is horrendous here too:

39% Approve
58% Disapprove

Yet Walters continues to vote as if she represents AL-01.

The Republican Party is a big tent. You have the conservatives like Walters who vote with Trump 99% of the time, and the moderates like Comstock that who vote with Trump a mere 98% of the time.

This is such a brutally accurate indictment.

(Looking at my "Almanac of American politics 1972") Sigh, yes. Though situation among Democrats is roughly the same..

You know how goddamn stupid you sound by making these false equivalencies all the time? You clearly haven't looked at Congressional voting records. For every Susan Collins, there's three Dems to that vote more to the center than her. Same thing in the House.

It's you, who is stupid, not me. That's why i used words "roughly the same". There are slightly more centrists Democrats then Republicans, but - only slightly so. And tendency is the same - there are smaller and smaller number of them with each election. So - shut up, please.. Don't make out of yourself even bigger fool, then you are.

[smoltchanov]

*raises eyebrow*

I do think Woodall is in more danger than Handel; though.

The same thought.

[smoltchanov]

What is weirder at NC-07 is that McIntyre retired because he thought the seat was unwinnable.

Well, it probably is unwinnable. And it definitely was in 2014.

Exactly. McIntyre had very narrow win in much friendlier 2012...