Will the top two in California's Senate race be two Democrats?

[smoltchanov]

Yes. And i don't see any problems with it: even to have a chance for decent November 8th Republucans must run one well-known candidate, not 3 (in reality - more) "some dudes"...

[smoltchanov]

Well, in fact it still could make some sense. Sanchez is slightly better from Republican point of view then Harris. Very slightly, but still - better. And Sanchez will have a chance in November (contrary to almost any Republican candidate).. Similar to Honda - Khanna situation in CA-17...

[smoltchanov]

^ In Presidential year Republican candidates would mostly play defence in any case in California. Trump's candidacy only exaggerate situation. Luckily for them - Republicans lost almost all swingy districts in California before (like 36th, 52th and some other), so - they will not lose too much this year. In House i can imagine them having tough elections only in 10th, 21th and 25th, and, most likely, they will not lose more then 1 of them (Democratic candidates in these districts are far from being very strong)...

[smoltchanov]

^ In Presidential year Republican candidates would mostly play defence in any case in California. Trump's candidacy only exaggerate situation. Luckily for them - Republicans lost almost all swingy districts in California before (like 36th, 52th and some other), so - they will not lose too much this year. In House i can imagine them having tough elections only in 10th, 21th and 25th, and, most likely, they will not lose more then 1 of them (Democratic candidates in these districts are far from being very strong)...

I think Emilio Huerta in CA-21 has the potential to be a very strong challenger, and either of the two Democrats in CA-25 could be contenders if given enough money. Michael Eggman in CA-10 is the one candidate I have serious doubts with, and I wish Jose Hernandez would give it another shot.

Should a localized wave hit California, I also think Ed Royce in CA-39 could be in trouble.

Frankly speaking - i have doubts. But - we shall see

[smoltchanov]

^ Agree with all argumentation, but too many "if's" "If" Asians and Hispanics will really shift in big numbers AND "if" they will turn out in great numbers. "If" Trump loses Orange country. And so on. Don't forget - Clinton is second most unpopular presidential candidate in many years. Yes. we know who is first, but still - ... (personally - i would vote for Clinton in this election, but - only barely. after giving serious consideration to Johnson - Weld ticket)