2014 state legislature (general) elections

[smoltchanov]

Will be interesting to see what happens in the WA State Senate next year I expect the two turnover Dems to be easily defeated but the Rs there may be able to hold a narrow outright majority.

And losses are almost guaranteed in CO I expect the State Senate to flip and some losses in the House not enough to flip the chamber but significant.

Tim Sheldon is very difficult to defeat (in fact, because of his rather conservative voting record, local liberal Democrats frequently tried to primary him, and always lost). Rodney Tom? More likely, but he is not easy target either - a former moderate Republican, who, later, switched (becoming a very moderate Democrat) and defeated Republican state Senator who was Minority Floor Leader.

In addition - Washington, with "top 2" system, doesn't have "primaries" now. And both Sheldon and Tom will get strong Indie and substantial Republican support

[smoltchanov]

I'm feeling bored, but here's a district-by-district breakdown of the NH Senate. I'd say there's a chance Democrats take the Senate.

Is it too naughty to ask for similar list for NH House?? (yes, i know, that  there are 400 representatives in it))). As a minimum - i would like to know more about "mavericks": like David Kidder among Republicans (very moderate AFAIK) or Michael Garcia or Tim O'Flaherty (both are very conservative Democrats, IMHO)

[smoltchanov]

I'm feeling bored, but here's a district-by-district breakdown of the NH Senate. I'd say there's a chance Democrats take the Senate.

Is it too naughty to ask for similar list for NH House?? (yes, i know, that  there are 400 representatives in it))). As a minimum - i would like to know more about "mavericks": like David Kidder among Republicans (very moderate AFAIK) or Michael Garcia or Tim O'Flaherty (both are very conservative Democrats, IMHO)

I don't have that much work, but I can tell you that Kidder is safe as can be. Garcia has a small chance of losing if it's like 2010, and O'Flaherty has a decent chance of getting primaried. O'Flaherty isn't even a Democrat - he's actually a self-professed anarchist who's part of the Free State Project. He just "agrees more with liberal views".

Thanks!