I dunno. NH elected a far right house and senate in 2010, a veto proof one at that. I'm still trying to figure out the whole NH being socially moderate thing - I feel like its not really a penalty here as long as you de-stress it. Ayotte is a mega social conservative but she didn't make those issues a focal point of her campaign.
2010 was extremely unusual year - may be even more so in New Hampshire then in many other states: a banner year for ultraconservatives. Very conservative Ayotte almost lost to even more conservative Ovide, Bass almost lost to unelectable very conservative Horn, and legislature now has a record number of "ultras' in decades, if not centuries. In 2012 the pendulum will swing back, the question is - how much? If Obama would retain even half of it's 2008 popularity - i would predict Democratic takeover of legislature. As it is - i think Republicans will retain legislative control in the state, but with much reduced majority...