Which GOPers will get a top 3 finish in at least one of the first four states?

[Volrath50]

My shot in the dark. Will be interesting to see how very wrong I was in two months.

Iowa
1. Cruz - 35%
2. Trump - 29 %
3. Carson - 12%

Cruz gets a lot of media attention, but it doesn't do much for him in New Hampshire.

New Hampshire
1. Trump 33 %
2. Christie 18 %
3. Rubio 13%

Christie, despite finishing second, is seen as disappointing, gets no bump.

South Carolina
1. Trump 33 %
2. Cruz 31 %
3. Carson 15 %

Media portrays this is a disappointment for Trump, triumph for Cruz. Cruz gets a moderate bump. Rubio's campaign is really lagging at this point, having failed to make much of a dent.

Nevada
1. Cruz 28%
2. Rubio 26%
3. Trump 23%

Media portrays this as a triumph for Cruz, disappointment for Trump and Rubio. Rubio, having bet his campaign on Nevada, is in a real bad spot going into Super Tuesday, which looks increasingly like a Trump v Cruz matchup. Most candidates have dropped out by now, though Jeb!, Christie and Carson are still holding out hope. GOP establishment is freaking out, beginning to consider backing Cruz to stop Trump.