Bush is skipping the Iowa Straw Poll; Might skip the Caucus

[heatmaster]

I think there is way to much emphasis placed on Iowa, very rarely do candidates who win in Iowa win the nomination, take Bush in '80 or Dole in '88, if Jeb makes too much of an effort there, he risks losing the expectations game, he won't win there - in real terms, the evangelicals are not going to support him anyway, so why bother?  Not running seriously there scales down Iowa's importance and marginalizes both Santorum and Huckabee, his biggest worry is Walker, he takes Walker down in N.H. and uses that to slingshot into South Carolina, winning there would be great, but placing second there, is okay. Florida is Bush country, he can do okay to very good on Super Tuesday after that, it's only a question of time. If my scenario plays out, then Jeb will be seen as a genius who deserves to win, if not who cares.